How does the Dodgers' poor start affect business?

dodgers4.jpgIt really doesn't, certainly not over the short-term, given the goodwill generated because none of the new owners are named McCourt. Sports franchises are not like traditional businesses in that their revenue streams are established well in advance of day-today performance. So teams like the Astros and Marlins can keep losing and their owners will still share revenue from other franchises, an arrangement that owners of big-market, big-value teams have to accept. The Dodgers, meanwhile, enjoy predictable revenue streams from TV rights and season ticket sales. Having a poor season might eat into operating income on the edges, but the team's brand is so secure in L.A. that it would take a multiyear plunge for the basic valuation to change appreciably. Even so, the first two months of the season can't be fun for the new owners. From this week's Business Update on KPCC:

Mark Lacter: Deal-making is never a sure thing - Rupert Murdoch certainly discovered that when he bought MySpace in 2005, and then the social media site took a nosedive because of a little outfit called Facebook. There also was the disastrous purchase of AOL by Time Warner, and the even more disastrous purchase of Countrywide Financial by Bank of America.


Steve Julian: Now, to be fair to the Dodgers, it's still early - sort of.

Lacter: Sort of - not just for the season, but for the ownership. And, let's not forget the huge number of injuries the team has faced. Of course, to succeed longer-term (and this is true for any business), you need more than a few breaks - the folks who follow this stuff say the real answer is to develop a strong farm system (as the Dodgers used to have), but that could take several years, and that's not fast enough for the fans who have been without a World Series championship for 25 years. So, for now, they're trying to become competitive by signing the most talented players they can get their hands on. The strategy makes sense, except that it doesn't seem to be working out very well. Money always helps, but it's never enough.

Julian: Let's keep things in perspective: this is just one season. Does it really affect the owners?

Lacter: Frankly, not much. The Dodgers remain an extremely valuable franchise, even if it turns out that the new owners overpaid a little. That's because the purchase has been predicated on the massive amount of money available from television rights - we're talking $7 billion over the next 25 years. Those are the basic terms of a partnership deal between the Dodgers and Time Warner Cable that would go a long way towards recouping what the owners paid for the team. The Dodgers will effectively own the channel carrying the games - that's as of next season. Time Warner Cable figures it won't have to keep renegotiating TV rights deals with the Dodgers every few years, which has been a real problem because the teams keep demanding more money.


More by Mark Lacter:
American-US Air settlement with DOJ includes small tweak at LAX
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Amazon keeps pushing for faster L.A. delivery
Another rugged quarter for Tribune Co. papers
How does Stanford compete with the big boys?
Those awful infographics that promise to explain and only distort
Best to low-ball today's employment report
Further fallout from airport shootings
Crazy opening for Twitter*
Should Twitter be valued at $18 billion?
Recent Business Update on KPCC stories:
Naysaying emerges in wake of LAX shootings*
Holiday shopping: On your marks, get set... spend!
What to do with all that bad chicken?
Why it's hard to gauge progress of health care programs
Why L.A. isn't being hit too hard by shutdown - for now

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Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
 
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
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