Housing prices projected to increase in 2013

homesale2.jpgSo says the California Association of Realtors as part of its forecast for next year. The median price is expected to reach $335,000, up 5.7 percent from 2012. That would be the highest median since prices peaked at $560,300 in 2007. It's worth noting that the CAR, like other housing economists, have been way off in their price projections. These days, it's virtually impossible to go out beyond a few months and expect anything more than a guesstimate. Check this out:

State median prices
2006 (forecast) +10.0% (actual) 6.5%
2007 (forecast) -2.0% (actual) +0.7%
2008 (forecast) -4.0% (actual) -37.8%
2009 (forecast) -6.0% (actual) -21.1%
2010 (forecast) +3.3% (actual) +10.9%
2011 (forecast) +2.0% (actual) -6.2%
2012 (forecast) +1.7% (actual) +10.9%

From the OC Register:

If next year's forecast is accurate, house sales will be up 53 percent from California's sales bottom in 2007, but still will be 15 percent below the market peak of 625,000 transactions in 2005. The median price would be up 22 percent from the price bottom of $275,000 in 2009. But the median price would remain 40 percent below 2007's price peak. The CAR forecast has had a spotty track record, with the median price forecast coming within five percentage points of actual prices just once in the past seven years.

More by Mark Lacter:
American-US Air settlement with DOJ includes small tweak at LAX
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Amazon keeps pushing for faster L.A. delivery
Another rugged quarter for Tribune Co. papers
How does Stanford compete with the big boys?
Those awful infographics that promise to explain and only distort
Best to low-ball today's employment report
Further fallout from airport shootings
Crazy opening for Twitter*
Should Twitter be valued at $18 billion?
Recent Real estate stories:
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Stability returns to housing market
Home flipping by and for the favored few
LA to get denser and denser and denser
Home sales cooling off a bit

New at LA Observed
On the Media Page
Go to Media

On the Politics Page
Go to Politics
Arts and culture

Sign up for daily email from LA Observed

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


Advertisement
Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
 
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
LA Observed on Twitter and Facebook