Would California have been this messed up if Schwarzenegger tryst had come out in 2003?

All right, just for argument's sake: Let's say California voters had learned about this Love Child business prior to the special election (keeping in mind that he was supposed to have fathered the kid nearly a decade ago). Mother Jones blogger Kevin Drum considers the possibilities:

it's almost a dead certainty that the recall would have failed and Gray Davis would have remained governor. The car tax would have stayed in place, no bonds would have been issued to make up for it, and California's deficit problems would have been less than half as bad as they turned out to be under Schwarzenegger. That's what comes of running a politically motivated snap election with weird rules in six weeks: you don't really know what you're getting.

Well, maybe. But don't minimize the role of anti-tax whack jobs like Ted Costa and Sal Russo (unofficial founder of the Tea Party) who managed to convince a majority of California voters that the car tax had to go (the recall effort won by a comfortable margin). Also don't minimize the damage that the mortgage meltdown had on the overall California economy, leading to lower tax revenues and higher deficits (that would have happened no matter who was running the show). And let's be honest: state government had been on a dysfunctional course well before Schwarzenegger even considered a run for governor. Why? In a nutshell, blame term limits, the outrageous initiative process, and older-skewing Proposition 13 voters who were unwilling to pay their fair share, no matter the consequences down the line. So while Arnold is a tempting target this morning, there was a lot more to the story.


More by Mark Lacter:
American-US Air settlement with DOJ includes small tweak at LAX
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Amazon keeps pushing for faster L.A. delivery
Another rugged quarter for Tribune Co. papers
How does Stanford compete with the big boys?
Those awful infographics that promise to explain and only distort
Best to low-ball today's employment report
Further fallout from airport shootings
Crazy opening for Twitter*
Should Twitter be valued at $18 billion?
Recent Politics stories:
Obama meets with victims of LAX shooting*
Maria Elena Durazo profile names a key name *
President Obama's arrival timed to rush hour (again)
Obama will visit DreamWorks Animation, Magic's home
Some USC students wish they were invited to Bush speech

New at LA Observed
On the Media Page
Go to Media

On the Politics Page
Go to Politics
Arts and culture

Sign up for daily email from LA Observed

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


Advertisement
Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
 
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
LA Observed on Twitter and Facebook