The latest WSJ survey shows that, on average, the 52 economists queried expect gross domestic product to contract for three consecutive quarters, starting with the just-ended July-September period. It would be the first time there has been three straight quarterly declines in more than half a century. "We're in the middle of a very dark tunnel," Brian Fabbri of BNP Paribas told the Journal. What's amazing about these sentiments is how different they are from, say, early September, when the economic mood was a lot more positive.
Among economists surveyed, 54% said they think the next president should launch an economic-stimulus package in January. Economists were divided on where the stimulus should go. Some 13% said it should be used to increase food stamps and unemployment benefits; 9% preferred infrastructure spending; 4% favored taxpayer rebates and 28% said it should be some mix of those options.



Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted
until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.